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Open Sources | Rodrigues & Urlocker » OSS & IT Analyst Firms

September 13, 2007 | Comments: (0)

OSS & IT Analyst Firms

The Motley Fool has a pretty interesting article on IT analyst firms such as Gartner & Forrester.

I've worked with these firms for nearly a decade and do believe that they provide a valuable service to their customers and the IT market in general.

Some metrics for Gartner:

"Each year, Gartner's 650 researchers attend 18,000 vendor briefings, along with answering 240,000 client inquiries."

Obviously, not every client inquiry is of equal weight, but these numbers work out to 1.5 client inquiries per researcher per weekday.

Let’s set aside the client inquiry figure, which, even if each inquiry was from a different customer we're only covering a very small subset of IT buyers. Even if a company is not a Gartner, Forrester, IDC, RedMonk, 451 Group or Entiva (etc.) customer, the company will be influenced by what these analysts say in the public media.

Analysts help customers make purchase decisions. Analysts also educate the market on new technologies. Even in open source land, the IT manager and CIO of a developer using your OSS product is much more likely to take something serious if they hear it from Gartner, Forrester or IDC first. Working with the large analysts will help your OSS business if you want *paying* customers in the enterprise. Boutique analysts like RedMonk, 451 Group or Entiva are going to be crucial in developing/refining your OSS business strategy. However, because of their size, these boutique analysts don't have the reach of a Gartner or Forrester in terms of customer purchase decisions. You'll need to work with both classes of analysts, because each bring a lot of (differentiated) value to the table.

BTW, the article also makes the case against using analysts:

"The current model of analyst-intermediated, opinion-based technology buying and selling produces poor financial returns. Across the world, corporate managers spend more than $1 trillion a year on technology. To help managers invest, and technology marketers persuade, $2 billion a year is spent on technology analysts. Yet 70% of projects fail to deliver a financial return, according to the Standish Group and other commentators."

(Funny enough, Standish Group is also an analyst firm). Should analysts bear the weight of these 70% of projects that fail? Would fewer projects fail if analysts were not involved in the equation? What is the ratio of project failures for similar companies that use analysts vs. companies that don't?

Questions, questions, question...I better call an analyst ;-)

PS: I should state: "The postings on this site are my own and don’t necessarily represent IBM’s positions, strategies or opinions."

Posted by Savio Rodrigues on September 13, 2007 01:00 PM


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Savio,

This is an excellent post. I have one additional comment. When it comes to getting an opinion, it makes a lot of sense to ask the same question to as many of them as possible because each firm (and each analyst within the firm) has their own personal perspective.

For example, with the exception of a few analysts, Gartner caters to the late majority. Their clients are mostly risk adverse and won't adopt new technology out of the box.

Forrester tends to be more in the middle.

As for the 451 Group, my opinion is that they are providing real independent analysis based on what they see and not worried about what others will think. You could argue that they cater to the technology vendor or the early majority, but regardless, they seem to be most in-tune with what is really happening in our space.

I would recommend that companies first evaluate their own technology strategy and speak with the analyst that will best align with their own philosophy. Are you all about risk mitigation? (Gartner) Or, do you think that technology can really give you a competitive advantage and you realize that the reward far outweighs the risk? (Red Monk, 451 Group)

Of course there are exceptions within each firm. But, understand the philosophy of the analyst firm first. And the analyst opinion is only one data point. Make sure you get many more before you pull the trigger.

Posted by: Interloper at September 14, 2007 05:41 AM

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