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Notes from the Field | Robert X. Cringely® » The Next Bill Gates

March 12, 2008 | Comments: (0)

The Next Bill Gates

It seems impossible, but in a few short months we will no longer have William H. Gates III to kick around anymore. The God of Windows is stepping away from his day-to-day responsibilities in June to become a roadie for U2, or possibly a fluffer personal assistant to George Clooney, or perhaps Hillary Clinton's running mate/money-honey [video].

So many options when you're worth $58 billion.

Who will be the next Billy G? I don't mean who's going to run Microsoft, we know that already. (Though Microsoft would be a better, more nimble, more interesting company if Ballmer moved on. But that's a topic for another time.) I mean, who will become the next magnet for criticism in the tech industry? Who can fill Bill's Keds as the premier architect of fear uncertainty and doubt? Who else can provide that perfect mixture of arrogance and incompetence?

The Register's Ashlee Vance has a suggestion, and it's a good one: Mark Zuckerberg.

But now we have Zuckerberg who combines arrogance, robot-like anti-charisma, immense paper wealth, creepy software, youth, intelligence, casual attire, calculating behavior, a spoiled child background, charges that he stole ideas from acquaintances and a general ignorance about why any of this matters to anyone in just the right quantities.

The parallels are striking. Both are ex-Harvard boys who struck it rich by capitalizing on someone else's brainstorm. In Gates' case, it was creating a knockoff of CRM CPM and labeling it MS-DOS (and later building a Mac wannabee called Windows). For Zucky, it was HarvardConnect (now called ConnectU), a budding social network that hired him to do some programming back in 2003 and is now suing him for stealing their ideas.

At one time, Bill Gates was seen as a plucky upstart battling the Big (Bad) Blue Machine, just as Zuckerberg has garnered hero status among the Twitterati for taking on Rupert Murdoch's MySpace.

Both desperately need a stooge to make them look good. In Gates' case, he hires people like Jay Leno to make him seem more human. Zuckerberg gets people like journalist Sarah Lacy, who made herself the scourge of the blogosphere recently for her ditzy interview of Zuckerberg at South by SouthWest.

(Until this point, Lacy's greatest claim to fame has been that she dumped a glass of water on TechCrunch Michael Arrington's head when he wasn't on fire. Now she'll be forever known as Zuckerberg's Bete Noire.)

Both are prone to making grandiose statements unsupported by fact. Zuckerberg said that media changes every 100 years (and that Facebook users essentially don't give a whit about their privacy). And Gates, well, just pick anything he's said about Windows over the last 25 years.

And then there's the hair thing. Is that a perm? The list goes on.

So while Zucky is a good call, I'd like to open the floor to all you out there in Cringeville. I need somebody to kick around. Who do you nominate for the Gates crown?

Post your candidates below or email them to me direct. Top tipsters qualify for cool swag.

Posted by Robert X. Cringely on March 12, 2008 06:31 AM


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Don't you mean "a knockoff of C_P_M" rather than "C_R_M" which AFAIK is not and never has been an OS?

Posted by: AngusSF at March 12, 2008 08:16 AM

oops. damn that's embarrassing. let me fix that now.....

rxc

Posted by: cringe at March 12, 2008 09:10 AM

Just to scratch my pedantic itch today, that should be CP/M or Control Program for Microprocessors. Even more pedantic, CP/M-86.

Anyway, entertaining article. I knew you had it in you.

Posted by: John at March 12, 2008 09:30 AM

Bill bought the operating system from Seattle Software. This was not a clone of CP/M.

Posted by: Erik at March 12, 2008 11:42 AM

I vote for Zuckerberg. Who says cloning of humans doesn't work. He's Gates 2.0

Posted by: Russ at March 12, 2008 12:32 PM

Who says Gates is human?

Posted by: Roger at March 13, 2008 06:24 AM

What about our old friend Darl McBride? Heck, SCO pretty much doesn't exist post- D-McB, maybe he can do the same service to us with Microsoft.

I just realized that the fundamental flaw in that idea is that SCO pretty much didn't exist for the past 10 years, either. Microsoft... well, it has, for better or worse (for XP or Vista?).

At any rate, I'd rather see him destroying another functionally obsolete company rather than trying to drive NASCAR every Saturday and Sunday.

Posted by: Andrew at March 13, 2008 09:51 AM

John, CP/M-86 was the x86 version of CP/M-80, which ran on Z80/8080-based PCs. For that matter, I believe that CP/M-80 is a retronym, and was originally known simply as CP/M.

Posted by: silverlokk at March 15, 2008 05:44 AM

Ouch, Darl McBride. Can you imagine the havoc he could wreak upon the industry with the legal and financial resources of Microsoft at his command? It makes me shudder.

Posted by: Derek at March 17, 2008 12:44 PM

If there is justice in the world, it would be Ballmer for his constant missing the point of why people use computers (it's not to make Microsoft rich at the expense of all others), and his bald faced lies about Apple not to mention his assumption that the only smart people on planet earth work at Microsoft. That the rest of us are too stupid to see through his pathetic rants.

But I would could be convinced that Jack Valenti would have been, had he lived long enough. Can an organization take that role? RIAA or MPAA?

How about Larry Ellison? The list goes on and on about potential candidates! McBridesmaid is a good suggestion. Only like the proverbial eternal bridesmaid, he's completely irrelevent.

Posted by: Eric at March 17, 2008 02:14 PM

No mercy here. Not that any of them deserve it, or care if we give it.

Posted by: cc at March 17, 2008 04:45 PM

silverlokk is correct about CP/M, and MSDOS may not have been a clone exactly, but it was darn close. It certainly wasn't a major step up, and was way behind many other contemporary microprocessor operating systems. And Erik was correct that MS didn't even have the chops to steal it themselves.

Posted by: geezergram at March 17, 2008 10:15 PM

Actually, what billy bought from Seattle Computing was a non-exclusive license to QDOS (Quick and Dirty Operating System), and it was more of an emulation of the DEC RT-8(11) minicomputer operating system, as was CPM and the others. Seattle Computing was allowed to continue to sell their QDOS, but it seems to have faded in the face of billy's marketing.

Posted by: pointsource at March 18, 2008 09:48 AM

Pointsource has refined the CRM - CP/M discussion pretty well.

Steve (I can throw chairs) Balmer is the natural candidate for the face stuck on the IT department dartboard, but Bobby said skip him.

Without the big fat target of Gates/Balmer to kick, my nominee for scapegoat of the new decade is Mr. Jobs. Granted, being the father of OS/X can buy you a lot of slack, but his outrages are only seen as cute because the Gates/Balmer BSOD show was so much easier to parody.

Posted by: scotch7 at March 20, 2008 12:35 PM

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